Per-lesion versus per-patient analysis of coronary artery disease in predicting the development of obstructive lesions: the Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TmoGraphic Angiography Imaging (PARADIGM) study
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
12-1-2020
Publication Title
International Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
Abstract
© 2020, Springer Nature B.V. To determine whether the assessment of individual plaques is superior in predicting the progression to obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) on serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) than per-patient assessment. From a multinational registry of 2252 patients who underwent serial CCTA at a ≥ 2-year inter-scan interval, patients with only non-obstructive lesions at baseline were enrolled. CCTA was quantitatively analyzed at both the per-patient and per-lesion level. Models predicting the development of an obstructive lesion at follow up using either the per-patient or per-lesion level CCTA measures were constructed and compared. From 1297 patients (mean age 60 ± 9 years, 43% men) enrolled, a total of 3218 non-obstructive lesions were identified at baseline. At follow-up (inter-scan interval: 3.8 ± 1.6 years), 76 lesions (2.4%, 60 patients) became obstructive, defined as > 50% diameter stenosis. The C-statistics of Model 1, adjusted only by clinical risk factors, was 0.684. The addition of per-patient level total plaque volume (PV) and the presence of high-risk plaque (HRP) features to Model 1 improved the C-statistics to 0.825 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.823–0.827]. When per-lesion level PV and the presence of HRP were added to Model 1, the predictive value of the model improved the C-statistics to 0.895 [95% CI 0.893–0.897]. The model utilizing per-lesion level CCTA measures was superior to the model utilizing per-patient level CCTA measures in predicting the development of an obstructive lesion (p < 0.001). Lesion-level analysis of coronary atherosclerotic plaques with CCTA yielded better predictive power for the development of obstructive CAD than the simple quantification of total coronary atherosclerotic burden at a per-patient level. Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT0280341
Volume
36
Issue
12
First Page
2357
Last Page
2364
Recommended Citation
Lee SE, Sung JM, Andreini D, Al-Mallah MH, Budoff MJ, Cademartiri F, Chinnaiyan K, Choi JH, Chun EJ, Conte E, Gottlieb I, Hadamitzky M, Kim YJ, Lee BK, Leipsic JA, Maffei E, Marques H, de Araújo Gonçalves P, Pontone G, Shin S, Stone PH, Samady H, Virmani R, Narula J, Berman DS, Shaw LJ, Bax JJ, Lin FY, Min JK, Chang HJ. Per-lesion versus per-patient analysis of coronary artery disease in predicting the development of obstructive lesions: the Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TmoGraphic Angiography Imaging (PARADIGM) study. Int J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2020 Dec;36(12):2357-2364. doi: 10.1007/s10554-020-01960-z. Epub 2020 Aug 10. PMID: 32779077.
DOI
10.1007/s10554-020-01960-z
ISSN
15695794
PubMed ID
32779077